Approximate Odds in Brave Card Packs

I've been keeping track of every card I got in brave packs and hit 1000 packs opened today. Here's the breakdown, if anyone is curious

★	834	83.40%	~5:6
★★	161	16.10%	~1:6
★★★	5	0.50%	~1:200

I'm not sure if it's even possible to pull a 4* or higher, but if it is it's EXTREMELY low.

Ty for this

Kadaan wrote:

I'm not sure if it's even possible to pull a 4* or higher, but if it is it's EXTREMELY low.

I've been wondering about that. Gunnel's picture on the card pack seems to indicate that it is possible to draw a 4*, but the chances are probably as low as drawing a 6* in a box, or even lower.

I've been playing for three weeks, and have finally drawn a 3* from a normal card pack yesterday. I was beginning to think it was a myth. xD

Thanks for going through the trouble of keep track of all that data

Been saving up my points as well, got some major leveling up to do after the next two events lol

I somehow got 2 3* units back to back when I decided to go through all of my brave points. Lycanthrope and the butterfly-dude unit. Gives me hope of one day opening a 5* from a premium ticket pack.

i have only pulled one 4* ever from brave packs = Miriam

cosmicsurf9 wrote:

i have only pulled one 4* ever from brave packs = Miriam

Whoa just imagine you can pull 5/6 but its basically impossible cause of the odds lol

I think that the cards that you pull from brave points aren't entirely random.

There have been times where I'd go to pull 10 cards, and 5 would be 2*s, and I'd get a three. Then, there would be days where 2*s are quite rare, and all I'd get was mostly 1*s.

Now, before anyone goes and states 'that's the nature of randomness', also understand that I tend to consistently see cards come up in brave that are also from the current Training quest that I'm hitting.

If I have 3000-4000 brave setup, I will often get multiples of the same card, always from the last training quest I was one.

IMHO, It seems that Mobage's Random Card Generator is based off of your training statistics or usage.

ChibiLeen wrote:

Kadaan wrote:

I'm not sure if it's even possible to pull a 4* or higher, but if it is it's EXTREMELY low.

I've been wondering about that. Gunnel's picture on the card pack seems to indicate that it is possible to draw a 4*, but the chances are probably as low as drawing a 6* in a box, or even lower.

I've been playing for three weeks, and have finally drawn a 3* from a normal card pack yesterday. I was beginning to think it was a myth. xD

Been playing this game since black dragon event and have only pulled two 3*'s. Never a 4*.

And speaking of odds...

I just got a new ally who was at level 36 when I added him. The guy has a bunch of crappy cards, as you suspect from someone who has only been playing for 2 weeks, so no shame... Except for one card.

The guy hasn't spent a dime on the game and has only received a couple premium tickets.

He pulled a Patricia. I didn't even know you could pull a 5* with premiums and this guy pulls one of the most useful ones for the current event.

Crazy (lucky!)

I've pulled 3 4*s: Angela, Kraken, Miriam

5 3*s seems awfully low for 1K cards pulled :\ I've gotten maybe 5 or 6 this last week with 7K brave points.

I'm still keeping track and I'll update again when I hit 2k cards .

My odds have been worse so far though; 230 cards past 1k and only one 3* so far.

I feel like it has gotten worse since the maintenance between Den of Sin and the Phantom Hunt event.

I use to get a 2* every 5-7 1*'s, but after the maintenance I went like 20 1*'s in a row!

I just opened 40 and got

35 1* = 87.5%
5 2* (Anna, 2 Kiras, Veronika, and Claudio) = 12.5%


I was beginning to wonder whether I had been cursed after getting 19 1*s in a row. The 2*s only showed up near the end lol

Edit: added a few more tries