| [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] | |
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clocksprocket Commando Chicklet [EPIC]
Join date : 2012-08-17 Posts : 1395
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 10:39 am | |
| I would totally film it. But I only have 810 SSS now, not 1000. :p Might just use those up, not sure it's worth being that sure... | |
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Admin ADMIN
Join date : 2012-08-14 Posts : 553
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 10:40 am | |
| - gtmeteor wrote:
- po1102 wrote:
- clocksprocket wrote:
- If that were me, the game would suddenly just shave off 30% chance and leave me with 30% left. For sure.
I'm currently saving up SSS. 760 for a level 35 Laura right now.
e: actually I went and checked, and that brings up odds of success to "extremely high." Yeah right, Mina.
I guess the question is, should I try that? Should I split it? Should I get 1000SSS and lose all those too? Who knows! Well I think whatever you do, if you're lucky you'll get it, if not you forever won't. Failing multiple times with 50/50 or failing once with 99.99999% are not much different in that sense.
Still trying with that mermaid... You can't fail 100% 99.9% and 100% are vastly different XD I'm saving for the next recruitment XD | |
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po1102 War Hero [Rare]
Join date : 2012-09-18 Posts : 1685
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clocksprocket Commando Chicklet [EPIC]
Join date : 2012-08-17 Posts : 1395
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 10:47 am | |
| Hahaha.
Meteor, I'll take you up on your bet if I can find 200 more SSS lying around. Then I'll do it with 1000SSS and videotape it. If by some ungodly stroke of bad luck it fails (which, it shouldn't, but this is me), then you can pay out that 200TE. (; | |
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po1102 War Hero [Rare]
Join date : 2012-09-18 Posts : 1685
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 10:48 am | |
| - gtmeteor wrote:
- I'm 99% sure that you can get to 100%.
Seeing that it doesn't help the company make profit, I'll place bet on that 1%. | |
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King-Shawe ☆☆
Join date : 2012-09-23 Posts : 288
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 10:50 am | |
| ^ Roll the dice clocks. I recruited Laura with 40 SSS (after failing with the jumbo SSL/SSS packages). I'm rolling a level 30+ Sonia right now 10 SSS per try. Gotta hit eventually. | |
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Whenesday Gingerbreadian [SPECIAL]
Join date : 2012-10-02 Posts : 244
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 10:56 am | |
| - King-Shawe wrote:
- ^ Those would be good enough odds for me.
Currently I'm still pretty paranoid like what clocks is having! If my best effort fails though, I'm think I'm going to take the same approach as you. Though this is going to drain all my luna reserves by trying to buy SSS at 6k each, and even then it's hard to find sellers | |
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King-Shawe ☆☆
Join date : 2012-09-23 Posts : 288
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 10:59 am | |
| ^ If you fail on your jumbo attempt, you still have 4+ days to train and grind stones... don't worry about Luna you can build that back up. You can't find 5* monsters training, that's for sure.
Even if you spam them like me on low odds that's still a lot of chances at recruiting. If for some reason that also doesn't work before the end of the event... you still have the monster the next time a recruitment event rolls around in a month or so. In that time you can level it up and just get prepared again - it's not like it's going anywhere.
In the meantime the high leveled monster will help significantly on defense. | |
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profile4 Tyrant of the End [LEGENDARY]
Join date : 2012-09-14 Posts : 305
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 11:04 am | |
| Haha I know what you mean there. I'm just lvling my Sonias up to ~60 each and going for a last ditch effort at the last second. If they don't work, well, I will have an army of Sonias. No more getting all my luna stolen as soon as I get it!
Also, just tried recruiting with 200SSS and failed. Oh well >.< | |
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Guest Guest
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 11:08 am | |
| - profile4 wrote:
- Haha I know what you mean there. I'm just lvling my Sonias up to ~60 each and going for a last ditch effort at the last second. If they don't work, well, I will have an army of Sonias. No more getting all my luna stolen as soon as I get it!
Also, just tried recruiting with 200SSS and failed. Oh well >.< ofc 200SSS should fail...thats like... 20% |
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King-Shawe ☆☆
Join date : 2012-09-23 Posts : 288
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 11:12 am | |
| If you consider for example, an American roulette wheel - the odds of hitting a green are 2:38 or 5.2%. These two green spaces are what prevents people from having 50/50 odds, always making sure the odds are slightly in the houses favor when people bet on black/red or even/odd. Even though the payout is 1:1 the odds are not 50/50. Even that slight 5.2% is enough to make it a lucrative investment for the casino, usually so that they have an entire floor section dedicated strictly to roulette.
Operating on that principle - anyone who's ever been to a casino before knows that they have those screens that track the recent history of the last ~20 numbers. You'll be hard pressed to find a roulette table that doesn't have at least 1-2 greens on it's tracker at any given time. Which makes sense because the 5% odds over 20 numbers naturally would mean one of them should be a 0 or 00.
If this is overly complicated think of it like this - you have a standard deck of 52 cards. Pick any number or face card - your odds of pulling that are 4:52 or roughly 7.6%. See how many times you can do that before you pull the card you want and then anticipate on doing it that many times in this game.
It's not that hard to do, I've already done it once and this is my first recruitment event. | |
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Guest Guest
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 11:20 am | |
| Just lost data of levels due to excel crash... :/ FUUUUUUUUUU..... |
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King-Shawe ☆☆
Join date : 2012-09-23 Posts : 288
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 11:22 am | |
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Guest Guest
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 11:37 am | |
| Level 40 shows a x1.14-1.15 multiplier... Level 55 shows a x1.19-1.20 multiplier... Level 66 shows a x1.21-1.22 multiplier... Level 100 shows a x1.33 multiplier...
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j0k3r3r ☆☆
Join date : 2012-10-02 Posts : 184
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 11:55 am | |
| where are most people farming sss? ive been going to 1-5 and averaging 3-4 sss every 250 tp. my friend says she has alot of luck at 14-5 tho. | |
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po1102 War Hero [Rare]
Join date : 2012-09-18 Posts : 1685
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 11:58 am | |
| - j0k3r3r wrote:
- where are most people farming sss? ive been going to 1-5 and averaging 3-4 sss every 250 tp. my friend says she has alot of luck at 14-5 tho.
I returned to 6-3 after converting Sonia to earn back the spent luna and got like 6 per full run... | |
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Gunzlinger Gravedigger [Retired]
Join date : 2012-09-20 Posts : 168
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 12:08 pm | |
| I do 2-5 to get Toads, I average 3-4 per run. | |
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Guest Guest
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 12:14 pm | |
| Ok, soooo ... for 5* .... Best I have is... round( ( 4 * SSL + 0.1 * SSS ) * ( 1 + LVL / 300 ) ) Send me a random level 5* unit so I could confirm? This is no scam! Ill cover 'borrowing' with my maxlvl Sonia |
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po1102 War Hero [Rare]
Join date : 2012-09-18 Posts : 1685
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 12:16 pm | |
| Dorothy 4* lvl 13 92 SSS extremely high odds Success
Now only that mermaid is left... | |
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Dark Knlght Peace Keeper [Retired]
Join date : 2012-09-20 Posts : 320
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 12:18 pm | |
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timlai1209 Gingerbreadian [SPECIAL]
Join date : 2012-09-10 Posts : 34
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 12:22 pm | |
| Finally, someone noticed that 6-3 got higher chance to obtain sss. Here is the no. of sss I farmed in 6-3 each time with 300TP in yesterday. 1, 4, 1, 1, 1, 4, 2, 4, 2, 5, 5, 2, 1, 2, 4, 2, 4, 4, 2, 2, 2, 6, 6, 1, 5, 5, 7,4 Total 89 sss in 28 times. I thought this result might not accurately to find the sss obtaining chance and I am still keeping record the number of sss each time in training. | |
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po1102 War Hero [Rare]
Join date : 2012-09-18 Posts : 1685
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 12:23 pm | |
| Mermaid 4* lvl 10 92 SSS extremely high odds Success... finally! Now I'm officially done with this event. Will try to recruit another Sonia with low odds for the heck of it. Edit: - timlai1209 wrote:
- Finally, someone noticed that 6-3 got higher chance to obtain sss.
Here is the no. of sss I farmed in 6-3 each time with 300TP in yesterday.
1, 4, 1, 1, 1, 4, 2, 4, 2, 5, 5, 2, 1, 2, 4, 2, 4, 4, 2, 2, 2, 6, 6, 1, 5, 5, 7,4
Total 89 sss in 28 times.
I thought this result might not accurately to find the sss obtaining chance and I am still keeping record the number of sss each time in training. Maybe it does. I got 3 SSS chests in a row once in 6-3. Taking my luck into account, that's pretty good. | |
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clocksprocket Commando Chicklet [EPIC]
Join date : 2012-08-17 Posts : 1395
| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] Mon Oct 08, 2012 12:30 pm | |
| I got 3 SSS in a row on 10-4 just now.
I think it's about random, honestly. | |
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| Subject: Re: [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] | |
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| [EVENT] Black Dragon Recruitment [Oct 5 - Oct 12] | |
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